@三国 FL,NM, NV, CO, even AZ 都是Latino heavy. VA要看亚裔。这次,Latino turn out rate will be record high This year. Latino 和 Asian 大都还是 “emotional“ voters (我这么叫)。投票率和倾向幅度可以很大,不像黑白,政治上比较成熟。
@Henry Yang white women 是voting turn out 最大的group。今年,they will lean towards Hillary. 2012 年白人vote turned out very high. 其中 59% vs 39% for Mit Romney; white women about 15% higher for Romney . 今年, white women 50-50? 靠什么赢? 年纪大的white male 能出来的都出来了。Young white male are leaning Democrates. What can you do? (Professionals不看中期选举) Republicans must think about what Millenials, Latinos and Asians care about in the long run. Fortunately, Hillary is not that popular like Obama in these three groups, who voted for him (60%, 71%, 73%).